As we wait, more or less impatiently, for the Supreme Court to announce its decision on ObamaCare, imaginations are running wild. James Fallows posted a blog with the title "5 Signs the United States is Undergoing a Coup." He came to his senses, after a fashion, and changed the title. He didn't do anything to make the post less stupid. I will bother only with his close:
Underscoring the point, a Bloomberg poll of 21 constitutional scholars found that 19 of them believe the individual mandate is constitutional, but only eight said they expected the Supreme Court to rule that way. The headline nicely conveys the reality of the current Court: "Obama Health Law Seen Valid, Scholars Expect Rejection."
How would you characterize a legal system that knowledgeable observers assume will not follow the law and instead will advance a particular party-faction agenda? That's how we used to talk about the Chinese courts when I was living there.
Well, you characterize it as a legal system in which 19 scholars out of a collection of 21 think that they disagree with the Court on an important issue. Constitutional scholars have every right to their opinions. The Supreme Court has the power to issue authoritative judicial opinions. That, Mr. Fallows, is the law. It may seem to you like a coup when the Court doesn't go your way, but it seemed much the same way to a town that was told by the High Court that it couldn't sponsor a non-sectarian prayer at its high school graduation. Comparing this to the Chinese system is five kinds of crackers.
Unlike Fallows, Jonathan Turley doesn't write stupid things. Turley argues at the WaPo for enlarging the number of justices on the High Court from 9 to 19. Ann Althouse accuses Turley of proposing a court-packing scheme. This is uncharacteristically unfair of Althouse.
Turley is not arguing for packing the Court with pro-progressive judges. He is making the familiar complaint that national political controversies are being decided by a lot of five to four decisions, meaning that one person (usually, Anthony Kennedy) is effectively making the decision for all the rest of us.
Turley correctly points out that the number of seats on the Supreme Court is not fixed in the Constitution and that many other nations have larger high courts. He makes the facially plausible assumption that a 19 member court would be less likely to divide 10 to 9 than a 9 member court 5 to 4.
On appellate courts it is rare that one or two judges consistently provide the swing votes on all issues when they sit "en banc," or as a whole. Appellate courts have also proved to be manageable while allowing for more diversity in their members. More important, the power of individual judges is diluted.
That Turley is not proposing a court-packing scheme is evident from this paragraph:
How would we get to a court of 19? Gradually. If Congress ordered such an expansion, no president would be allowed to appoint more than two additional justices in a term. Once fully staffed, the court would have a more regular natural turnover. This would allow greater variety and a more consistent opportunity for each president to name members to the bench. It would also decrease the importance of individual justices hewing so closely to party lines — potentially allowing nominees with broader experience and ideas.
It is hard to guess whether or how a larger court would work better than a smaller one. It seems clear to me that Turley gets cause and effect backwards here. We don't have large national questions resting on the shoulders of one judicial personality because the Court is evenly divided; rather, the Court is evenly divided because large national questions can rest on the shoulders of one judge.
Courts below the level of the Supremes rarely attract severe political scrutiny. However, since the nomination of Robert Bork, the balance on the Supreme Court has been the focus of as much passion as any national election. There is no good reason to think that this would change if the balance was ten to nine. One party or the other would still be tempted to pull out all the stops to prevent a President from changing the balance. Given that constant pressure, the Court would still tend over time towards a more or less even balance and swing votes would be just as potent.
There are two reasons why the Court has tended toward narrow majorities of late and they are the result of trends over the last half century. One is that the Court began to take it upon itself to intervene in major national controversies and to insert its own political judgments by its decisions. On issues like civil rights, religious liberty, and abortion, the Court decided to decide the issues. It is not that this never happened before (see McCulloch v. Maryland and Dred Scott) but it was relatively rare prior to the Second World War. Maybe it's a very good thing that the Court did this, but there is no escaping the consequential politicization of the Court.
The second reason, closely related and perhaps a result of the first, is that there are big differences among scholars, judges, and politicians about the meaning of the Constitutional provisions. Political positions are heavily implicated in the constitutional positions. Consider, for a case in point, the Supreme Court's recent decisions on the Second Amendment right to bear arms.
Conservatives like to think that there is a remedy for this. They offer such doctrines as original intent and strict construction as ways to distinguish the Constitution as the rules of the game from the actual play on the field. That the Left views conservative judicial decisions as not only wrong but illegitimate tells us that the conservatives have a point. I confess myself to be tempted by this approach. I am a judicial minimalist. I think that the Court should decide as little as possible and should view itself as a team of umpires whose job is to ensure fair play, not to help the Cubs finally win.
Perhaps, someday, our political culture will allow that. I am not holding my breath. It doesn't do so now and will not for a long time. No numerical manipulations of the court will change the basic dynamics.
Thinking About Education & Not Getting the Solution?
Just fill out the Form & you'll get a call from our Education Advisor within 6Hrs.
http://www.schoolanduniversity.com
http://www.trafficgeyser.net/lead/help-me-find-a-college
Posted by: online Education | Monday, June 25, 2012 at 02:11 AM
Why not call for a Constitutional Convention, Ken?
Posted by: larry kurtz | Monday, June 25, 2012 at 09:05 AM
The Supremes have been out of control for 80 years.
Their decisions in Wickard v. Filburn (1942), US v. Miller (1939) and US v Raich (2005) show contorted, convoluted, irrational "reasoning".
Under Wickard, EVERYTHING is "interstate commerce" and so subject to the rule of Congress. Never mind that if the Founders had intended that result, they would have simply said, "All power rests with Congress". In Wickard, the Supremes decided that raising wheat on one's own farm for one's own use was "Interstate Commerce" because it had the potential to "affect" interstate commerce.
In Raich, the Supremes decided that commerce doesn't even have to be LEGAL commerce for Congress to "regulate" it. Thus Congress can regulate the illegal commerce in marijuana. Note that in Wickard, the purpose of regulating wheat supply was to ensure higher prices and greater profits for farmers. Note that in Raich, the purpose was to ensure higher prices for marijuana and greater profits for Mexican drug cartels. (WHAT!??) Yes, the main beneficiaries of US v. Raich are the same Mexican drug cartels that have been receiving high-power weaponry courtesy of Eric Holder and the BATFE.
In Miller, the Supremes left the question of whether gun control was constitutional hanging for so long, that the delay left its own unconstitutional result. By the time the Miller case reached the Supreme Court, Miller was dead. Yet the court reversed and remanded the case for FURTHER PROCEEDINGS! Keep in mind that the lower courts all ruled the National Firearms Act UNCONSTIUTIONAL! But until the Heller case, the Court was apparently waiting for Miller to get back to them.
So it was in Heller (2008) that the Supremes carved out an exception to the general rule that gun control is unconstitutional. Guns could be banned if they were "unusual and dangerous" Well, "dangerous" should be a given. A gun that isn't "dangerous" isn't of much use. But what about "unusual"? It turns out that firearms like the AK-47, the M-16 and short-barreled shotguns are "unusual". Why? Because for 80 years the Supremes declined to rule on a Second Amendment case! In short, the Supreme Court CREATED the fiction of "unusual" arms by sitting on its collective ass for 80 years!
The latest bonehead "decision" by the Supremes? Arizona is largely prohibited from addressing its problem with criminal aliens.
Quite often lay people think that decisions by the Supreme Court don't make sense, but have doubts about their own conclusions because of a lack of knowledge about the law. They figure there must be some valid reason why the Supreme Court ruled the way it did. For the record, quite often the Supreme Court's reason for ruling in a particular manner is collective stupidity or political motivation. Trust your instincts. If a ruling by the Supreme Court looks like insanity - it probably is.
Posted by: BambiB | Monday, June 25, 2012 at 10:25 AM
Barack Obama, our Constitutional-Law-Professor-in-Chief, opposed the individual health-insurance mandate before he favored it.
Where does that leave us?
The Supremes will soon say.
Posted by: Stan Gibilisco | Tuesday, June 26, 2012 at 12:38 AM
FYI, the "poll" cited by Fallows (and Ezra Klein) was no such thing. A questionnaire was sent out to 131 constitutional scholars. 21 responded to it. So, at best it's a poll of 131 experts, 110 of whom had no opinion on the matter, one way or they other, or at least would not offer it.
More: http://thepondsofhappenstance.blogspot.com/2012/06/manufacturing-concensus.html
Posted by: robeiae | Tuesday, June 26, 2012 at 05:55 PM
Robeiae: I agree that the poll was nonsense, but thanks for providing the details. You reinforce my point that Fallow's flatulence was just that.
Posted by: Ken Blanchard | Wednesday, June 27, 2012 at 12:27 AM
Ausführlich das meine selbst im gleichen Sinne ungeachtet
man möglicherweise schließlich auf keinen Fall was auch immer kostenfrei bieten oder obgleich tagchen diesseits hab meine Wenigkeit was entdeckt Poker Geld Gratis selbst hab die von einem Kamerad.
Aufgeladen Gratis Kohle ebenso bombastisch Webseite hast du dabei Super
Poker Geld
Posted by: Poker Geld | Monday, July 23, 2012 at 04:13 PM