U.S. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton enters the final week before Kentucky’s May 20 Democratic presidential primary with a commanding 27 percentage point lead over U.S. Sen. Barack Obama, a new poll shows.
She leads the Illinois senator 58 percent to 31 percent, with 11 percent uncommitted, according to a Herald-Leader/WKYT Kentucky Poll of 500 probable Democratic voters.
But either Democratic candidate would trail the expected Republican nominee, John McCain, in the state by double digits if the November general election were held today, reveals a companion survey of 600 likely voters from all parties.
The results reinforce the expectation that Obama will lose Kentucky, even as he seems on the verge of securing the Democratic nomination.
UPDATE: Oops. I've realized my math was wrong. I'm in the process of trying to re-tally everything, so I apologize if I mislead anyone.
TALKLEFT: 64% of Dems want Hillary to stay in the race.
UPDATE: All right, after a bit if deeper research I've reformulated some of my thinking. First off, it's clear that Obama is leading in the popular vote, the number of states, pledged delegates, and superdelegates. Obama is 150 delegates away from securing the nomination (the magic number is 2,025), while Clinton needs 330. Mathematically, the numbers are not in Clinton's favor. However, that doesn't mean it's over. Superdelegates are not obligated to maintain support of their candidate (see Joe Andrews). If the superdelegates begin to see that Obama will have a hard time in Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, and other states against John McCain, then the superdelegates can put the brakes on his limp towards the nomination and push Clinton ahead instead. And there's little doubt that Clinton is just going to walk away. If Clinton wins West Virginia with the projected advantage the media has her at, then the party might start to worry that he cannot get the job done in November.
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