According to Fox Channel. Washington Post confirms.
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Results | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | % |
Hillary Clinton | 146,836 | 52% |
Barack Obama | 133,126 | 48% |
Key: Winner Precincts: 13% | Updated: 9:20 PM ET | Source: AP |
It's way too early to tell how wide the spread is going to be. What are we looking for?
The public spin says that Clinton has to win big, and big is defined as 10% or more. But those numbers are no more than spin. I think that Fred Barnes is right, that Clinton will stay in if she wins by a groundhog in Punxsutawney. But under 5% will look pretty bad for her. At the other extreme, Obama will not be seriously damaged unless she wins way more than the point spread, say 15-25%. That would indicate serious weakness on his part in an electorally important state.
So: anything between 5% and 15% for Ms. Clinton will leave us exactly where we are now: Ms. Clinton can't win enough delegates to get the nomination; Obama will continue to be subject to doubts about his general election chances.
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