With two days to go before the Iowa caucuses, the Des Moines Register has published a survey showing Mike Huckabee outpolling Mitt Romney among Republicans and Barack Obama leading over Hillary Clinton among Democrats. Although John Edwards has tried to argue his candidacy is surging in Iowa, he remains at the same levels as the last Register poll. Edwards must win Iowa if he hopes to have a chance in the early primary states. According to this poll, Obama is carrying the momentum over Clinton and Edwards.
For the Republicans, John McCain seems to be gaining traction in Iowa. The Register shows he's nearly doubled his support from November and (as I argued the other day) a third-place finish will give him a push in New Hampshire. Huckabee's lead remains virtually unchanged since the last Register poll. Fred Thompson has also improved in Iowa, though I don't know if it'll be enough to remain a key player. He'll need third-place or better to tap into momentum, but right now he's tied with Ron Paul at 9%.
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