William Shawcross is, as Powerline puts it, "England's most notable journalist." He is the author of a number of influential books on American policy in the Middle and Far East, including Sideshow, and The Shah's Last Ride. He is also, as John Miller points out in National Review, now regarded as a traitor to the left. Shawcross's earlier books included scathing critiques of Henry Kissinger's policy in Cambodia, but his most recent book, Allies: The U.S., Britain, and Europe, and the War in Iraq, is passionately pro-war. His recent piece in the London Times reports from Basra on the training of the Iraqi army.
First Lieutenant Yasser Ahmed Rassol is another young Iraqi army
officer in training. He was sent in a group of 40 students on a 13-week
course at the Infantry Battle School at Brecon, in Powys. His English
is good. “We learnt to fight in built-up areas,” he said. He will soon
graduate as a company commander.
The academy was built by the British Army in 1924 and has now
been restored by Britain. When I visited it in 2004 it was just a
building site. Now it is the best training school in Iraq and is known
among the British officers as Sandhurst in the Sand. It has begun to
produce 600 young officers a year. Some 250 have already graduated and
are out in the field commanding platoons.
Shawcross note the success that the coalition forces and the Iraqis are having in building a new army.
The coalition plan is to create an army of 137,000 men and a police
force of 190,000. So far the army has grown to about 115,000 and the
police to 138,000.
He also notes the slow but steady political success that the Iraqis alone must be responsible for.
This weekend a new government was very belatedly being formed. It
will be vital for this government, under Nouri Maliki, the prime
minister, to drag politics off the streets and back into the
constitutional process. . . .
However, if the government is seen as broadly representative
of the Shi’ite, Sunni and Kurdish populations and is seen to be
effective, it will be much harder for the insurgents.
Shawcross thinks that we are winning in Iraq. The only question is whether we will stick around long enough for the umpire to call it.
Even those who were opposed to the invasion of Iraq should recognise
that this is a whole new battle — between the values of a liberal civil
society and nihilism, sometimes Islamic but always nihilism.
The coalition training of the Iraqi armed forces is proceeding
well. The Iraqi army already has the lead in about 60% of the country.
We can soon begin to draw down our troops and turn over more power to
provincial authorities.
To do so too fast, just because the war is unpopular at home,
would be to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. As Jackson said at
the end of his trip, our success in Iraq should not be measured by
numbers of troops brought home.
It is much more complex than that. The goal is an independent
Iraq with a representative government. Part of that goal is to prevent
the most bloody and reactionary gangs of killers from destroying the
country — and the future of the Middle East.
We can do this and we should be proud of doing it.
I have always thought that this is right. I think it very likely that the U.S. and Britain will stick around for the finish. I think we are going to see a republic take root in Iraq. I do not know, nor do I think we will ever know whether it was worth the sacrifices. I do not know how to weigh lives against policy goals. But if Shawcross and I are correct, and the millions of Iraqis who risked their own lives to vote get a permanent stake in their own country, if a moderate democracy is established in the fertile triangle and Arab Muslims can see that self-government and Islam are not mutually exclusive, then we will in fact have won a great victory in Iraq. Reasonable people will still be able to argue that our soldiers should not have fought and died there. But no reasonable person will be able to say that they died in vain.
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