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Monday, February 15, 2010



I know all you Republicans are giddy about this, but don't forget that there are more Senate Republicans retiring than Senate Democrats.


Thanks, John. What matters, however, is the expectations in the face of which the retirements are occurring. Retiring Republicans are confident that their party will hold onto their seats. Retiring Democrats, many of them at least, are retiring because it is preferable to running and losing. To be sure, things may change. But if the election were held right now the Republicans would probably pick up eight seats. They might well win the Senate back.

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